Shareholder-lender Mergers and Capital Expenditure Forecasts


Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis

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Award date27 Apr 2022


Using mergers between lenders and shareholders of the same firm as an exogenous shock to dual holding, this study examines how the presence of dual holders (i.e., investors who hold both debt and equity claims) affects capital expenditure forecasts. Prior evidence suggests that capital expenditure forecasts can function as a commitment mechanism and help reduce contracting costs with creditors. I posit that the presence of dual holders reduces the marginal benefits of capital expenditure forecasts as dual holding mitigates shareholder-creditor conflicts. Consistent with this prediction, I find that capital expenditure forecasts decrease after the exogenous emergence of dual holders. The negative relation between dual holding and capital expenditure forecasts contrasts to the positive relation between dual holding and management earnings forecasts documented in a recent study, suggesting a multi-dimensional relation between dual holding and voluntary disclosures.

    Research areas

  • dual holding, capital expenditure forecasts, corporate disclosure, shareholder-creditor conflicts, difference-in-differences