Spatial and temporal modeling for healthcare applications
醫療健康應用中的時空建模
Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis
Author(s)
Detail(s)
Awarding Institution | |
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Award date | 2 Oct 2015 |
Link(s)
Permanent Link | https://scholars.cityu.edu.hk/en/theses/theses(58ccae42-8d2b-42fb-a76d-bde94bc337f4).html |
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Other link(s) | Links |
Abstract
Compared with the situation only a few years ago, the face of data analysis has been
changed utterly. All kinds of intellectual devices keep records of many activities,
but they are always biased, incomplete and unbalanced. Making good use of this
type of data is the key of today’s “big data analysis”. We attempt and propose a
preliminary method to deal with the observational data, which is the propensity score
matching method. Propensity score was introduced as the conditional probability
of assignment to a particular treatment verse control, given a vector of observed
covariates. This procedure thus compensates the missing of randomization and helps
to draw conclusions based on the available data.
Meanwhile, as more wealth are accumulated and the global living standards are
improving steadily, more and more attention has been attracted to public health
and health care surveillance. The outbreaks of several infectious disease such as
SARS, H1N1, H7N9, bird flu and Ebola Virus Disease have seized everyone’s nerves.
Fast detection of increases in the incident rate of an adverse event is more-thanever
desirable. Motivated by the successful applications in industry quality control,
the technique of control chart has been introduced to the domain of health care
surveillance from traditional statistical process control (SPC).
Compared with SPC, healthcare surveillance is more sophisticated and involves
geography, human behavior and other factors. Therefore, the outbreaks may be in
varied forms, and happen simultaneously. Those traditional methods somehow simplify
the problem and overlook the multiple-cluster scenarios. Our proposed adaptive
order statistic plan and FDR-based method tried to fill this blank in two ways. The
former tries to sum up all “significant” ones after standardizing the observed counts
and comparing them with the quantiles of the Normal distribution. The latter applies
the multiple tests method and makes “discoveries” while controlling the false
discovery rate. They can detect the outbreak quickly and actually, as well as identify
the exact outbreak area.
- Public health surveillance, Statistical methods