資源枯竭條件下的城市產業轉型升級研究- 以山東省棗莊市為例

Abstract

Resource-based city is thriving with the development of local natural resource, the dominant industries are mining natural resource and preliminary process industries. The resource-based cities in our country develop and expand with the development of industry especially heavy industry which made significant contribution to the national economy and social development. However, the resource reserves are finite and nonrenewable, which cause the economy decline and cities deteriorate with the decline of resource. Since 1990, owing to the lack of overall planning and reduction of natural resource, many resource-based cities faced the problem of economic slowdown and structural transformation. Thus, in order to revive the competitiveness of the city, it is crucial to transform its economic structure and lead to comprehensive transformation of the city itself. The basic characteristic of a resource-based city is that its industries and economy rely heavily on natural resources; the essence of the city’s transformation lies in the transformation and upgrading of its industries, and letting the new industries to become the drivers of the next phase of development for the local economy.

Zaozhuang is an important base of energy and building materials. It became one of the national key cities for coal since the municipality was founded in 1961. It has produced about 640 million tonnes of raw coal since 1949 and made huge contribution to the economic development of Shandong Province and the nation as a whole. With long period of intensive and large scale mining, the local coal resource is depleting day by day. This has brought about a number of serious problems to the local economy, such as sustainable economic development, structural transformation, environment protection, social welfare, and fiscal expenditure. In March 2009, Zaozhuang was declared the State Council as one of the 32 cities on the list of “the second batch of resource-exhausted cities”. As many other resource-depletion cities, Zaozhuang is now encountering economic hardship because of its reliance on the very same rich coal resources that had once made it prosperous, making it imminent the need for a speedy economic transformation.

Based on the theories and practices of resource-dependent cities’ industrial transformation, this dissertation combines the methods of qualitative and quantitative analysis. It follows the research framework as below. First, it empirically investigates the effect of coal resource depletion on some key indicators of urban economic development, by using the annual data of Zaozhuang City during the period from 1980 to 2013. We propose that there is a negative relationship between coal resource depletion and urban economic development, that is, with the depletion of coal resource, Zaozhuang’s economic development will decline, which could be the evidence for the necessity of research on the transformation of its dominant industry. Second, given the current situation of Zaozhuang, we employ the theory and principle of transforming dominant industry to select the successive dominant industry for Zaozhuang’s future development, by using the method of Analytical Hierarchy Process and Dominant-Industry Selection Index System. Third, by comparing with the successful cases of industrial transformation by resource-dependent cities that share similar characteristics with Zaozhuang, we analyze the transformation paradigm of Zaozhuang based on its current situation. Fourth, given that we have selected above the successive dominant industry, we further study the path of industrial transformation and upgrade for Zaozhuang’s future development. Fifth, we discuss the role of local government in Zaozhuang’s industrial transformation and upgrade.

Date of Award	19 Oct 2015
Original language	Chinese (Traditional)
Awarding Institution	City University of Hong Kong
Supervisor	Yong WANG (Supervisor)