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Volatility analysis with realized GARCH-Itô models

Xinyu Song, Donggyu Kim, Huiling Yuan, Xiangyu Cui, Zhiping Lu, Yong Zhou, Yazhen Wang*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump–diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in the continuous instantaneous volatility process. The key feature of the proposed model is that the corresponding conditional daily integrated volatility adopts an autoregressive structure, where both integrated volatility and jump variation serve as innovations. We name it as the realized GARCH-Itô model. Given the autoregressive structure in the conditional daily integrated volatility, we propose a quasi-likelihood function for parameter estimation and establish its asymptotic properties. To improve the parameter estimation, we propose a joint quasi-likelihood function that is built on the marriage of daily integrated volatility estimated by high-frequency data and nonparametric volatility estimator obtained from option data. We conduct a simulation study to check the finite sample performance of the proposed methodologies and an empirical study with the S&P500 stock index and option data.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)393-410
JournalJournal of Econometrics
Volume222
Issue number1, Part B
Online published6 Aug 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2021

Research Keywords

  • High-frequency financial data
  • Option data
  • Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation
  • Stochastic differential equation
  • Volatility estimation and prediction

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