Abstract
Revealed preferences between alternatives can be systematically reversed across a variety of elicitation procedures (e.g., choice, valuation, matching, joint/separate evaluation). These puzzling findings have been usually invoked to challenge the procedure invariance principle. Yet procedure-dependent preferences can be endogenous. This paper presents a unifying theory of contextual deliberation to account for seemingly disparate phenomena of preference reversals. When attribute importance is ex ante imperfectly known, people can engage in costly information retrieval/acquisition activities (i.e., deliberation) prior to making decisions. Elicitation procedures can influence revealed preferences through affecting the incentive for deliberation. Therefore, contextual deliberation can endogenously yield procedure-dependent preference reversals, offer a common microfoundation for extant psychological accounts (e.g., the prominence hypothesis, the evaluability hypothesis), and coherently organize apparently unrelated/inconsistent findings in the literature. We also run five experiments and document new findings that are inconsistent with extant hypotheses but can be reconciled by contextual deliberation.
© 2024 INFORMS
© 2024 INFORMS
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 8163–8186 |
Journal | Management Science |
Volume | 70 |
Issue number | 11 |
Online published | 9 Feb 2024 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Nov 2024 |
Funding
This work was supported by the Hong Kong Research Grant Council (RGC) General Research Fund [Grant 16500614].
Research Keywords
- deliberation
- evaluation mode
- evaluation scale
- preference reversal
- procedure invariance
- prominence effect
- joint evaluation
Publisher's Copyright Statement
- COPYRIGHT TERMS OF DEPOSITED POSTPRINT FILE: © 2024 INFORMS. This is the author accepted manuscript (AAM) of a paper published in Management Science. The final published version of record is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.02640. Guo, L. (2024) Unifying Procedure-Dependent Preference Reversals: Theory and Experiments. Management Science, 70(11), 8163-8186. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.02640