Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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Author(s)

  • Timothée Vergne
  • Guillaume Fournié
  • Michal Perry Markovich
  • Rolf J. F. Ypma
  • Ram Katz
  • Irena Shkoda
  • Avishai Lublin
  • Shimon Perk

Detail(s)

Original languageEnglish
Journal / PublicationVeterinary Research
Volume47
Publication statusPublished - 4 Nov 2016
Externally publishedYes

Link(s)

Abstract

The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.

Research Area(s)

Citation Format(s)

Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015. / Vergne, Timothée; Fournié, Guillaume; Markovich, Michal Perry; Ypma, Rolf J. F.; Katz, Ram; Shkoda, Irena; Lublin, Avishai; Perk, Shimon; Pfeiffer, Dirk U.

In: Veterinary Research, Vol. 47, 04.11.2016.

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journalpeer-review