The overvaluation of Renminbi undervaluation

Yin-Wong Cheung*, Menzie D. Chinn, Eiji Fujii

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

114 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for, there is little statistical evidence that the RMB is undervalued, even though the point estimates usually indicate economically significant misalignment. The result is robust to various choices of country samples and sample periods, as well as to the inclusion of control variables. © 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)762-785
JournalJournal of International Money and Finance
Volume26
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2007
Externally publishedYes

Research Keywords

  • Absolute purchasing power parity
  • Capital controls
  • Currency misalignment
  • Exchange rates
  • Real income

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