Abstract
Nor’easters are coastal extratropical cyclones that feed upon both thermal contrasts (meridional and land-ocean) and oceanic latent heat release, causing them to intensify along the U.S. East Coast. With central pressures that sometimes rival those of tropical cyclones, they represent a significant coastal hazard and are often associated with strong winds, heavy snowfall, disruption, and damage. While interest in studying the impacts of climate change on storm behavior is growing, nor’easters have historically received far less attention than tropical cyclones, largely due to challenges in documenting and categorizing these storms combined with the relatively short observational record. Here, we address these challenges by employing a cyclone tracking approach in concurrence with long-term reanalysis data to create a reliable historical database of these storms. We find a significant increasing trend in the maximum wind speeds of the most intense (>66th percentile) nor’easters. We also observe an increasing trend in hourly precipitation rates associated with these storms. Such changes have profound implications for coastal cities and shorelines, increasing the risk of coastal flooding and erosion. © 2025 the Author(s).
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | e2510029122 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| Journal | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
| Volume | 122 |
| Issue number | 29 |
| Online published | 14 Jul 2025 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 22 Jul 2025 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Funding
This work was supported by funding from The University of Pennsylvania.
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
-
SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
Research Keywords
- climate change
- extratropical cyclones
- intensity
- nor’easters
- precipitation
Publisher's Copyright Statement
- This full text is made available under CC-BY 4.0. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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