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The Association Between Accounting Determined Risk Measures and Analysts' Risk Perceptions in a Medium‐Sized Stock Market

  • Mohan Selva

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

This paper investigates the association between financial analysts' risk perceptions and accounting and market determined risk measures in Hong Kong. Analyses from a survey of risk perceptions among analysts reveal that: (1) Accounting determined risk measures, together with a contextual variable, explain 0.77 of the variation in perceptions. The statistic is comparable to those reported for the US and UK stock markets. (2) Analysts perceive higher risk in companies expected to exhibit a decline in earnings. (3) Correlation between perceptions and p‐e ratios is ‐0.74. (4) Correlation between market beta and p‐e ratios/perceptions is not significant. The results suggest that earnings expectations play a substantial role in the formation of risk perceptions and that risk perceptions may be a superior surrogate for ex ante market risk than beta. Implications for stock valuation in medium‐sized markets are discussed. Copyright © 1995, Wiley Blackwell. All rights reserved
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)207-229
JournalJournal of International Financial Management & Accounting
Volume6
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 1995
Externally publishedYes

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