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Testing the dividend-ratio model on real estate assets

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

Campbell and Shiller's (1988) dividend-ratio model has long been adopted in various asset markets. It improves previous methods by incorporating time-varying discount rates theoretically. However, it is rarely applied to real estate markets, nor has its validity been tested on real estate assets. This paper uses the dividend-ratio model to examine the long-term relationship between the market capitalization rate and the growth-adjusted discount rate in the housing markets in Hong Kong. The empirical results show a significant and positive long-term relationship between these two series, which provides evidence that cap rate can reflect the market conditions in the long run and that a dynamic discounting model can help predict long-term cap rate.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)19-35
JournalJournal of Real Estate Practice and Education
Volume9
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2006
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publication details (e.g. title, author(s), publication statuses and dates) are captured on an “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE” basis at the time of record harvesting from the data source. Suggestions for further amendments or supplementary information can be sent to [email protected].

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

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