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Strategies in dynamic pari-mutual markets

  • Tian-Ming Bu
  • , Xiaotie Deng
  • , Qianya Lin
  • , Qi Qi

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

We present a strategic model for pari-mutual markets by traders using a cumulative utility function. Under this model, we derive guidelines for the traders on how much to buy or sell. Those guidelines can be implemented with three action combinations, called strategies. We prove that those strategies are payoff equivalent for both the involved trader and the others in the current transaction. However, in the long run, their payoffs can be quite different. We show that the buy-only strategy(BOS) achieves the highest market capitalization for the current transaction. In addition, simulation results also prove that BOS always yields the fastest growth of market capitalization even when multiple stages are taken into consideration. Simulation results also show that BOS is a better revelation of the traders' personal beliefs, though it exhibits a higher risk in traders' payoffs. © 2008 Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternet and Network Economics
Subtitle of host publication4th International Workshop, WINE 2008, Proceedings
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages138-153
Volume5385 LNCS
ISBN (Print)3540921842, 9783540921844
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008
Event4th International Workshop on Internet and Network Economics, WINE 2008 - Shanghai, China
Duration: 17 Dec 200820 Dec 2008

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume5385 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference4th International Workshop on Internet and Network Economics, WINE 2008
PlaceChina
CityShanghai
Period17/12/0820/12/08

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