Simulation of strategies for containing pandemic influenza

Sigrún Andradóttir, Wenchi Chiu, David Goldsman, Mi Lim Lee, Kwok-Leung Tsui, David N. Fisman, Beate Sander, Azhar Nizam

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We use a stochastic simulation model of pandemic influenza to investigate realistic intervention strategies that can be used in reaction to developing outbreaks. The model is constructed to represent a typical midsized North American city. Our model predicts average illness attack rates and economic costs for various intervention scenarios, e.g., in the case when low-coverage reactive vaccination and limited antiviral use are combined with minimally disruptive social distancing strategies, including short-term closure of individual schools. We find that such combination strategies can be substantially more effective than vaccination alone from epidemiological and economic standpoints. ©2010 IEEE.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
Pages2221-2229
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2010
Externally publishedYes
Event2010 43rd Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10 - Baltimore, MD, United States
Duration: 5 Dec 20108 Dec 2010

Publication series

Name
ISSN (Print)0891-7736

Conference

Conference2010 43rd Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10
PlaceUnited States
CityBaltimore, MD
Period5/12/108/12/10

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