Risk scoring based on DNA methylation-driven related DEGs for colorectal cancer prognosis with systematic insights

Colorectal cancer is a common malignant tumor of the digestive tract. Despite advances in diagnostic techniques and medications. Its prognosis remains challenging. DNA methylation-driven related circulating tumor cells have attracted enormous interest in diagnosing owing to their non-invasive nature and early recognition properties. However, the mechanism through which risk biomarkers act remains elusive. 

Here, we designed a risk model based on differentially expressed genes, DNA methylation, robust, and survival-related factors in the framework of Cox regression. The model has satisfactory performance and is independently verified by an external and isolated dataset in terms of C-index value, ROC, and tROC. The model was applied to Colorectal cancer patients who were subsequently divided into high- and low-risk groups. Functional annotations, genomic alterations, tumor immune environment, and drug sensitivity were analyzed. We observed that up-regulated genes are associated with epithelial cell differentiation and MAPK signaling pathways. The down-regulated genes are related to IL-7 signaling and apoptosis-induced DNA fragmentation. Interestingly, the immune system was inhibited in high-risk groups. High-frequency mutation genes tend to co-occur. High-risk score patients are related to copy number amplification events. To address the challenges, we suggested eleven and twenty-one drugs that are sensitive to low- and high-risk patients. Finally, an artificial neural network was provided to evaluate the immunotherapeutic efficiency. 

Taken together, the findings demonstrated that our risk score model is robust and reliable for evaluating the prognosis with novel diagnostic and treatment targets. It also yields benefits for the treatment and provides unique insights into developing therapeutic strategies. © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.