The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges
Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews › RGC 21 - Publication in refereed journal › peer-review
Author(s)
Detail(s)
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1-11 |
| Journal / Publication | Journal of Banking and Finance |
| Volume | 34 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Publication status | Published - Jan 2010 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Link(s)
Abstract
This paper investigates the efficiency of stock index options traded over-the-counter (OTC) and on the exchanges in Hong Kong and Japan. Our findings suggest that implied volatility is superior to either historical volatility or a GARCH-type volatility forecast in predicting future volatility in both the OTC and exchange markets. This paper is also one of the first to compare the predictive power of the implied volatility of stock index options traded OTC to that of exchange-traded stock index options. Our evidence suggests that the OTC market is more efficient than the exchanges in Japan, but that the opposite is true in Hong Kong. © 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Research Area(s)
- Historical volatility, Implied volatility, Index options, Over-the-counter, Predictive power
Citation Format(s)
The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges. / Yu, Wayne W.; Lui, Evans C.K.; Wang, Jacqueline W.
In: Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 34, No. 1, 01.2010, p. 1-11.
In: Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 34, No. 1, 01.2010, p. 1-11.
Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews › RGC 21 - Publication in refereed journal › peer-review
