Regional capital mobility in China : Economic reform with limited financial integration

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)493-503
Journal / PublicationJournal of International Money and Finance
Online published27 Jul 2013
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2013


This paper assesses the changes in the regional capital mobility in China during the period of economic reform in 1978-2008 by employing a panel time varying coefficient (TVP) model. This approach is much more suitable to model China's evolution in the regional capital mobility than a standard structural break model as China's reforms took place gradually and were often implemented over several stages. Using the TVP model, we find that (1) China's provincial capital mobility demonstrated a moderate improvement over the sample period, but worsened temporarily between 1994 and 1997. This is probably due to the government's effort to combat inflation which reduced the investment and transfers to regions; (2) regions with the most developed and least developed provinces experienced higher degree of capital mobility improvement than those in the middle. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.

Research Area(s)

  • China capital market integration, Panel time-varying coefficient model, Permanent income model, Regional capital mobility