Prediction of Compressive Strength of Fly Ash Based Concrete Using Individual and Ensemble Algorithm

Ayaz Ahmad, Furqan Farooq*, Pawel Niewiadomski, Krzysztof Ostrowski, Arslan Akbar*, Fahid Aslam, Rayed Alyousef

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

211 Citations (Scopus)
66 Downloads (CityUHK Scholars)

Abstract

Machine learning techniques are widely used algorithms for predicting the mechanical properties of concrete. This study is based on the comparison of algorithms between individuals and ensemble approaches, such as bagging. Optimization for bagging is done by making 20 sub-models to depict the accurate one. Variables like cement content, fine and coarse aggregate, water, binder-to-water ratio, fly-ash, and superplasticizer are used for modeling. Model performance is evaluated by various statistical indicators like mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), and root mean square error (RMSE). Individual algorithms show a moderate bias result. However, the ensemble model gives a better result with R2 = 0.911 compared to the decision tree (DT) and gene expression programming (GEP). K-fold cross-validation confirms the model’s accuracy and is done by R2, MAE, MSE, and RMSE. Statistical checks reveal that the decision tree with ensemble provides 25%, 121%, and 49% enhancement for errors like MAE, MSE, and RMSE between the target and outcome response.
Original languageEnglish
Article number794
JournalMaterials
Volume14
Issue number4
Online published8 Feb 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2021

Research Keywords

  • Concrete compressive strength
  • Cross-validation python
  • Decision tree
  • DT-bagging regression
  • Ensemble modeling
  • Fly ash waste

Publisher's Copyright Statement

  • This full text is made available under CC-BY 4.0. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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