Poor-prognosis young-onset colorectal cancer is defined by the mesenchymal subtype and can be predicted by integrating molecular and histopathological characteristics

J. Ke (Co-first Author), Y. Li (Co-first Author), L. Qi (Co-first Author), X. Li, W. Wang, S. Ten Hoorn, Y. Zhu, H. Huang, F. Gao, L. Vermeulen, X. Wang*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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Abstract

Background: Young-onset colorectal cancer (CRC), affecting individuals <50 years of age, presents a significant health threat worldwide. The molecular and clinical characteristics of young-onset CRC are poorly understood, complicating the development of effective biomarkers for precision oncology. This study aimed to dissect age-dependent molecular heterogeneity of CRC and establish a model for identifying high-risk young-onset patients. Methods: We analyzed clinical data for 564 439 patient samples across three large cohorts. For molecular characterizations, a subset of 1874 patient samples was used. A deep learning framework was used to analyze hematoxylin–eosin-stained whole-slide images to quantify Shannon diversity indices (SDIs). Subsequently, a multivariate model, integrating SDI, microsatellite status and promoter methylation of miR-200s, was developed for predicting the consensus molecular subtype (CMS)4-mesenchymal subtype, followed by internal and external clinical validations. Results: Young-onset CRC patients exhibited better overall survival but worse relapse-free survival and higher metastasis rates compared with late-onset cases. Molecular subtyping analysis found that young-onset CRC also comprises the same four subtypes (CMS1-4), but the prevalence differs from late-onset CRC. Stratified analysis suggested that the poor outcomes in young-onset CRC were due to higher prevalence of the CMS4-mesenchymal subtype. To predict CMS4, we established an effective risk-scoring model (area under the curve = 0.87) combining molecular and histological markers, with multiple independent validations. Conclusions: CRC shows age-dependent molecular heterogeneity, with young-onset cases more frequently presenting the CMS4 subtype. To predict CMS4, we developed and validated a robust risk-scoring model integrating molecular and histological markers, offering a new translatable tool for more optimized management of young-onset patients. © 2025 The Authors
Original languageEnglish
Article number100181
Number of pages15
JournalESMO Gastrointestinal Oncology
Volume9
Issue numberC
Online published9 Jun 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2025

Funding

This work was supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 62403344) awarded to Ying LI, and a grant from Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (No. 2019B030302012), grants from the Research Grants Council (No. 11103619, 11103921, C4024-22GF) of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China, a startup fund (No. 4937084), direct grant (No. 2021.077), Faculty Postdoctoral Fellowship Scheme (No. FPFS/21-22/32 and FPFS/22-23/026) and Research Committee – Group Research Scheme 2022-23 (No. WW/rc/grs2223/0560/23en) from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, awarded to Xin Wang. This work was also partially sponsored by Shenzhen Bay Scholars Program awarded to Xin Wang.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Research Keywords

  • colorectal cancer
  • consensus molecular subtypes
  • subtype-specific biomarker
  • tumor heterogeneity
  • young-onset patients

Publisher's Copyright Statement

  • This full text is made available under CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

RGC Funding Information

  • RGC-funded

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