Abstract
Predicting stock trends is a highly rewarding but high-risk endeavor due to the complex interplay of market dynamics, irrational behaviors, and diverse sentiments. Previous studies have used time-series analysis on historical prices or sentiment analysis on textual information. However, these methods often fail to capture the dynamic interactions between text and time-series modalities and overlook the different perspectives embedded in textual data. To address these limitations, we propose the pleno-alignment framework (PAFrame) that enhances multimodal stock information through intermodal and intramodal alignment to capture market dynamics. Our framework first integrates textual and time-series data in a shared representation space to learn modal-invariant information. To tackle divergent sentiments in textual data, we employ a contrastive learning approach to extract abstract semantic meanings from objective and subjective perspectives, thereby improving the robustness of language representations. Finally, we use a hybrid approach that explicitly combines cross-attention mechanisms to create a unified representation and utilizes prompts to implicitly guide language models with numerical financial indicators for final prediction. Our comprehensive experiments on five real-world datasets show that PAFrame outperforms existing methods in predicting stock trends.
© 2025 IEEE. All rights reserved, including rights for text and data mining, and training of artificial intelligence and similar technologies. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission.
© 2025 IEEE. All rights reserved, including rights for text and data mining, and training of artificial intelligence and similar technologies. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 16604-16618 |
| Journal | IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems |
| Volume | 36 |
| Issue number | 9 |
| Online published | 1 May 2025 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Sept 2025 |
Funding
This work was supported in part by the InnoHK Initiative, in part by the Government of the HKSAR, and in part by the Laboratory for AI-Powered Financial Technologies.
Research Keywords
- Contrastive learning
- language model
- multimodal
- stock trend prediction
- time series
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