Performance of the United Kingdom Meteorological Office global model in predicting the movement of tropical cyclones

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

6 Scopus Citations
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Author(s)

  • J. C L Chan
  • Wai-Kau Kay

Detail(s)

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)326-336
Journal / PublicationWeather & Forecasting
Volume8
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 1993

Abstract

The analyses for the entire sample show that the skill of the UKMO generally increases with forecast intervals, as in the case of other numerical prediction models. However, the short-term forecasts are worse than those of CLIPER, and a substantial error exists in the initial position of the tropical cyclone in the model. The UKMO also has a tendency to overpredict recurvature for westward-moving TCs, and acceleration for recurved TCs. -from Authors