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Optimal computing budget allocation with input uncertainty

Siyang Gao, Hui Xiao, Enlu Zhou, Weiwei Chen

    Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

    Abstract

    In this study, we consider ranking and selection problems where the simulation model is subject to input uncertainty. Under the input uncertainty, we compare system designs based on their worst-case performance, and seek to maximize the probability of selecting the design with the best performance under the worst-case scenario. By approximating the probability of correct selection (PCS), we develop an asymptotically (as the simulation budget goes to infinity) optimal solution of the resulting problem. An efficient selection procedure is designed within the optimal computing budget allocation (OCBA) framework. Numerical tests show the high efficiency of the proposed method.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
    PublisherIEEE
    Pages839-846
    ISBN (Print)9781509044863
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 17 Jan 2017
    Event2016 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2016 - Arlington, United States
    Duration: 11 Dec 201614 Dec 2016
    https://informs-sim.org/wsc16papers/by_area.html
    http://meetings2.informs.org/wordpress/wintersim2016/

    Publication series

    Name
    ISSN (Print)0891-7736

    Conference

    Conference2016 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2016
    PlaceUnited States
    CityArlington
    Period11/12/1614/12/16
    Internet address

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