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On prediction by data compression

  • Paul VitÁnyi
  • , Ming Li

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

Traditional wisdom has it that the better a theory compresses the learning data concerning some phenomenon under investigation, the better we leaxn, generalize, and the better the theory predicts unknown data. This belief is vindicated in practice but apparently has not been rigorously proved in a general setting. Making these ideas rigorous involves the length of the shortest effective description of an individual object: its Kolmogorov complexity. In a previous paper we have shown that optimal compression is almost always a best strategy in hypotheses identification (an ideal form of the minimum description length (MDL) principle). Whereas the single best hypothesis does not necessarily give the best prediction, we demonstrate that nonetheless compression is almost always the best strategy in prediction methods in the style of R. Solomonoff. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1997.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMachine Learning: ECML-97 - 9th European Conference on Machine Learning, Proceedings
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages14-30
Volume1224
ISBN (Print)3540628584, 9783540628583
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1997
Event9th European Conference on Machine Learning, ECML 1997 - Prague, Czech Republic
Duration: 23 Apr 199725 Apr 1997

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume1224
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference9th European Conference on Machine Learning, ECML 1997
PlaceCzech Republic
CityPrague
Period23/04/9725/04/97

Bibliographical note

Publication details (e.g. title, author(s), publication statuses and dates) are captured on an “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE” basis at the time of record harvesting from the data source. Suggestions for further amendments or supplementary information can be sent to [email protected].

Funding

Paul Vits is also affiliated with the University of Amsterdam. He was supported by NSERC through International Scientific Exchange Award ISE0125663, and by the European Union through NeuroCOLT ESPRIT Working Group Nr. 8556, and by NWO through NFI Project ALADDIN under Contract number NF 62-376. Ming Li was supported in part by NSERC operating grant OGP-046506, ITRC, and a CGAT grant and the Steacie Fellowship.

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