Multivariate EMD-based modeling and forecasting of crude oil price

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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Author(s)

  • Kaijian He
  • Rui Zha
  • Jun Wu
  • Kin Keung Lai

Related Research Unit(s)

Detail(s)

Original languageEnglish
Article number387
Journal / PublicationSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume8
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2016

Link(s)

Abstract

Recent empirical studies reveal evidence of the co-existence of heterogeneous data characteristics distinguishable by time scale in the movement crude oil prices. In this paper we propose a new multivariate Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)-based model to take advantage of these heterogeneous characteristics of the price movement and model them in the crude oil markets. Empirical studies in benchmark crude oil markets confirm that more diverse heterogeneous data characteristics can be revealed and modeled in the projected time delayed domain. The proposed model demonstrates the superior performance compared to the benchmark models.

Research Area(s)

  • ARMA model, Crude oil price forecasting, Empirical mode decomposition (EMD), Multiscale analysis, Multivariate EMD analysis, Time delay embedding

Citation Format(s)

Multivariate EMD-based modeling and forecasting of crude oil price. / He, Kaijian; Zha, Rui; Wu, Jun et al.

In: Sustainability (Switzerland), Vol. 8, No. 4, 387, 2016.

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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