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Load Forecasting based on Deep Long Short-term Memory with Consideration of Costing Correlated Factor

  • Baifu Huang
  • , Danqi Wu
  • , Chun Sing Lai
  • , Xin Cun
  • , Haoliang Yuan
  • , Fangyuan Xu
  • , Loi Lei Lai
  • , Kim-Fung Tsang

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

In Day-ahead Power Market (DAM), Load Serving Entities (LSEs) needs to submit their load schedule to market operator beforehand. For reduction of the total cost, the disparity of the price of DAM and the price of RDM (Real Day Market) should be considered by the LSEs. Therefore, the problem is that a more accurate load-forecasting model sometimes provide a price that has an interspace will lead to a lower cost. Facing this issue, this paper initiates a load forecasting model considering the Costing Correlated Factor (CCF) with deep Long Short-term Memory (LSTM). The target of the forecast model contains both accuracy section and power cost section. At the same time, the construct of LSTM can of fset the sacrificed accuracy. Also, this paper uses an Adaptive Moment Estimation algorithm for network training and the type of neuron is Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU). A numerical study based on practical data is presented and the result shows that LSTM with CCF can reduce energy cost with acceptable accuracy level.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings : IEEE 16th International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN)
PublisherIEEE
Pages496-501
ISBN (Electronic)9781538648292
ISBN (Print)9781538648308
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2018
EventIEEE 16th International Conference of Industrial Informatics (INDIN 2018) - University of Porto's Engineering Faculty, Porto, Portugal
Duration: 18 Jul 201820 Jul 2018
https://web.fe.up.pt/~indin2018/

Publication series

Name
ISSN (Electronic)2378-363X

Conference

ConferenceIEEE 16th International Conference of Industrial Informatics (INDIN 2018)
Abbreviated titleINDIN 2018
PlacePortugal
CityPorto
Period18/07/1820/07/18
Internet address

Research Keywords

  • Demand Response
  • Load Forecast
  • Machine Learning
  • MaIket Deregulation
  • Power Market
  • Recurrent Neural Network
  • Smart Grid

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