How cultural values shape fiscal spending multipliers: a worldwide analysis

Fei Guo, Zhuo-Guang Zeng*, Isabel Kit-Ming Yan, Shi He

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

This study examines the intricate nexus between cultural values and fiscal spending multipliers. Leveraging quarterly panel data spanning 37 countries from 1974 to 2021, we scrutinize the impact of the six Hofstede cultural dimensions on fiscal spending multipliers. Through the application of panel structural vector autoregressions, our analysis reveals several key findings: (i) Individualism, indulgence, and masculinity cultural values amplify fiscal spending multipliers, whereas power distance, long-term orientation, and uncertainty avoidance cultural values dampen their effects; (ii) The presence of a robust welfare system diminishes the magnifying impact of individualism and masculinity on fiscal spending multipliers; (iii) Corruption mitigates the diminishing influence of power distance cultural values on fiscal spending multipliers; (iv) Anticipations of future inflation weaken the constraining effects of uncertainty avoidance and long-term orientation cultural values on fiscal spending multipliers. These discoveries shed light on the nuanced relationships between cultural values and fiscal outcomes, offering valuable insights for policymakers and researchers alike. © 2025 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages25
JournalApplied Economics
DOIs
Publication statusOnline published - 18 Dec 2025

Funding

Fei Guo acknowledges financial support from the Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72203118), the Promotion Project for Young Talents of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region (23DLQTZS005), the Start-up Research Grant for Introduced Talents (0000/030700002563) from Ningxia University, and financial support of the Economics First-class Research Field Project of Ningxia (award number: NXYLXK2017B04). Isabel Yan acknowledges financial support from the General Research Fund (#9043088) and Strategic Research Grant (#7006145).

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 16 - Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
    SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Research Keywords

  • Cultural value
  • fiscal multipliers
  • government spending
  • panel SVAR

RGC Funding Information

  • RGC-funded

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