Hierarchical fuzzy rule-based system optimized with genetic algorithms for short term traffic congestion prediction

Xiao Zhang, Enrique Onieva, Asier Perallos, Eneko Osaba, Victor C.S. Lee

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

113 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Taking practical and effective traffic prediction and control measures to ease highway traffic congestion is a significant issue in the research field of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). This paper develops a Hierarchical Fuzzy Rule-Based System (HFRBS) optimized by Genetic Algorithms (GAs) to develop an accurate and robust traffic congestion prediction system employing a large number of input variables. The proposed system reduces the size of the involved input variables and rule base while maintaining a high degree of accuracy. To achieve this, a hierarchical structure composed of FRBSs is optimized by a Steady-State GA, which combines variable selection and ranking, lateral tuning of the membership functions, and optimization of the rule base. We test the capability of the proposed approach on short term traffic congestion problems, as well as on benchmark datasets, and compare the outcomes with representative algorithms from the literature in inferring fuzzy rules, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed approach. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)127-142
JournalTransportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
Volume43
Online published24 Mar 2014
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2014

Research Keywords

  • Congestion forecasting
  • Genetic algorithms
  • Genetic fuzzy systems
  • Hierarchical fuzzy rule-based systems
  • Intelligent transportation systems
  • Traffic congestion prediction

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