Greenfield Foreign Direct Investment : Social Learning Drives Persistence

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Original languageEnglish
Article number102641
Journal / PublicationJournal of International Money and Finance
Online published5 Apr 2022
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2022


This paper argues that the persistence of greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) comes from information frictions. First, our simple social learning model shows that, through signaling effects, information frictions generate persistent greenfield FDI inflows. Second, we show empirically that the autoregressive coefficient of greenfield FDI increases in value with different proxies for information frictions, including six institutional and governance indicators and two common language measures. We also find that greenfield FDI persistence varies across industries. In particular, greenfield FDI by service firms is more persistent than that by manufacturing firms. Finally, our findings suggest that better governance, predictability, and transparency reduce information frictions and thereby avoiding drastic and persistent ups and downs in FDI.

Research Area(s)

  • Greenfield FDI, persistence, information, social learning

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Research Unit(s) information for this publication is provided by the author(s) concerned.