Future thermohygrometric climate within historic houses

A simple transfer function has been used to predict indoor temperature and humidity from outdoor climate. Using downscaled output from the Hadley Model (HadCM3) changes in indoor climate through to 2100 were predicted for an idealised unheated room at a number of European sites. The potential threats to paper and the risk of salt damage were predicted using damage functions. Although paper faces an increased risk in some temperate locations, salt weathering can increase or decrease dependent on location. Many future indoor climates may already exist at other locations, so communication throughout the heritage sector offers examples for the management of future challenges. Climate change is relatively slow so there is ample time for the adoption of good practices at these locations. © 2011 Elsevier Masson SAS.