Abstract
Generalized with the regime-dependent beliefs and regime-switching dynamics, the simple market-maker framework established by Day and Huang (1990) is capable to model all types of crises, that is, sudden crisis, disturbing crisis and smooth crisis, and to offer economic and dynamic justifications on how and why these crises appear. Moreover, the model simulations verify the salient qualitative and statistical properties commonly observed in the real financial data such as fat tails, volatility clustering, long range dependence, leverage effect and other stylized facts. Additionally, the model replicates the various chart patterns widely applied in the technical analysis. © 2012 Elsevier B.V..
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 445-461 |
| Journal | Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization |
| Volume | 82 |
| Issue number | 2-3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - May 2012 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Bibliographical note
Publication details (e.g. title, author(s), publication statuses and dates) are captured on an “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE” basis at the time of record harvesting from the data source. Suggestions for further amendments or supplementary information can be sent to [email protected].Funding
This research is partially supported by Grant RG58/10 from Ministry of Education , Singapore. We thank the editor, the anonymous reviewers, Wai-Mun Chia, Walter Theseira, Qiyan Ong and seminar participants in Sogang University, University of Queensland, University of Glasgow and Victoria University of Wellington for comments and suggestions that help improve the paper substantially. The usual caveat applies.
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities
Research Keywords
- Financial crisis
- Long-range dependence
- Power-law distribution
- Regime switching
- Regime-dependent belief
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