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Expansion co-planning with uncertainties in a coupled energy market

  • Jing Qiu
  • , Zhao Yang Dong
  • , Jun Hua Zhao
  • , Ke Meng
  • , Huiqiao Tian
  • , Kit Po Wong

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

Natural gas is an important fuel source in the power industry. Electricity and natural gas are both energy that can be directly consumed. It is imperative that gas power plants, electricity transmission lines and gas pipelines are co-planned in future energy transmission expansion. The co-planning process is modeled as a mixed integer nonlinear programming problem to handle the multi-stage and conflicting objectives simultaneously. We propose a novel optimization algorithm called Historical Driven Differential Evolution (HDDE) to identify the optimal co-expansion plan in terms of the social welfare. Planning risks due to uncertainties of energy load, load percentages that can be mutually transferred between gas and electricity, and market price are effectively evaluated by the flexibility criterion in stochastic programming. Meanwhile, we use the sequential importance sampling (SIS) to deploy scenario reduction for a higher computational efficiency. After a test in the IEEE 14-bus system, promising results are obtained to validate our approach. © 2014 IEEE.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2014 IEEE PES General Meeting / Conference and Exposition
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Volume2014-October
ISBN (Print)9781479964154
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 29 Oct 2014
Externally publishedYes
Event2014 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - National Harbor, United States
Duration: 27 Jul 201431 Jul 2014

Publication series

NameIEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
Volume2014-October
ISSN (Print)1944-9925
ISSN (Electronic)1944-9933

Conference

Conference2014 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
PlaceUnited States
CityNational Harbor
Period27/07/1431/07/14

Bibliographical note

Publication details (e.g. title, author(s), publication statuses and dates) are captured on an “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE” basis at the time of record harvesting from the data source. Suggestions for further amendments or supplementary information can be sent to [email protected].

Research Keywords

  • flexibility
  • power system planning
  • risk management

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