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Development of adaptable pandemic simulation models

  • KL Tsui*
  • , SY Wong
  • , JT Wu
  • , CB Chow
  • , DM Goldsman
  • , A Nizam
  • *Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

    Abstract

    1. A pandemic simulation programme was developedwith three components: an adaptable population generator that createssynthetic populations with various structures; a disease simulator thathandles combinations of reactive intervention strategies; and a userinterface that offers flexible input and graphical output for analysis.

    2. Simulation experiments of different reactive strategy combinations werecarried out over the regional synthetic populations.

    3. The effectiveness of various practical schooling strategiesunder a realistic demographic situation and movement dynamics weremodelled. Limiting contact amongst students in more schools can reduce theoverall attack rate. Increasing the duration of school closures can reducethe overall infection attack rate.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)23-25
    JournalHong Kong medical journal = Xianggang yi xue za zhi
    Volume24
    Issue number5 (Supplement 6)
    Publication statusPublished - Oct 2018

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