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Defining and identifying Sleeping Beauties in science

  • Qing Ke
  • , Emilio Ferrara
  • , Filippo Radicchi
  • , Alessandro Flammini*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

A Sleeping Beauty (SB) in science refers to a paper whose importance is not recognized for several years after publication. Its citation history exhibits a long hibernation period followed by a sudden spike of popularity. Previous studies suggest a relative scarcity of SBs. The reliability of this conclusion is, however, heavily dependent on identification methods based on arbitrary threshold parameters for sleeping time and number of citations, applied to small or monodisciplinary bibliographic datasets. Here we present a systematic, large-scale, and multidisciplinary analysis of the SB phenomenon in science. We introduce a parameter-free measure that quantifies the extent to which a specific paper can be considered an SB. We apply our method to 22 million scientific papers published in all disciplines of natural and social sciences over a time span longer than a century. Our results reveal that the SB phenomenon is not exceptional. There is a continuous spectrum of delayed recognition where both the hibernation period and the awakening intensity are taken into account. Although many cases of SBs can be identified by looking at monodisciplinary bibliographic data, the SB phenomenon becomes much more apparent with the analysis of multidisciplinary datasets, where we can observe many examples of papers achieving delayed yet exceptional importance in disciplines different from those where they were originally published. Our analysis emphasizes a complex feature of citation dynamics that so far has received little attention, and also provides empirical evidence against the use of short-term citation metrics in the quantification of scientific impact.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7426-7431
Number of pages6
JournalPNAS: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Volume112
Issue number24
Online published26 May 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Jun 2015
Externally publishedYes

Research Keywords

  • Bibliometrics
  • Delayed recognition
  • Sleeping Beauty

Policy Impact

  • Cited in Policy Documents

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