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Corporate financial crisis prediction using SVM models with direct search for features selection and parameters optimization

  • Ligang Zhou
  • , Kin Keung Lai

    Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

    Abstract

    since the accuracy of corporate financial crisis prediction is very important for financial institutions, investors and governments, many methods have been employed for developing effective prediction models. Support vector machines (SVM) are powerful methods for classification and have been used for this task. However, the performance of SVM is sensitive to parameters optimization and features selection. In this study, a new approach based on direct search and features ranking technology is proposed to combine features selection and parameters optimization for SVM models for financial crisis prediction. The sensitivity of features ranking technology, strategies of sampling training samples, and types of SVM models are analyzed on a data set with 2010 samples. The experimental results show that the proposed models are good alternatives for financial crisis prediction. © 2012 IEEE.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2012 5th International Joint Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization, CSO 2012
    Pages760-764
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2012
    Event2012 5th International Joint Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization, CSO 2012 - Harbin, Heilongjiang, China
    Duration: 23 Jun 201226 Jun 2012

    Conference

    Conference2012 5th International Joint Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization, CSO 2012
    PlaceChina
    CityHarbin, Heilongjiang
    Period23/06/1226/06/12

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities
      SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities

    Research Keywords

    • Direct search
    • Features ranking
    • Support vector machines

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