Copula-based parameter estimation for Markov-modulated Poisson Process

Fang Dong, Kui Wu, Venkatesh Srinivasan

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

Markov-modulated Poisson Process (MMPP) has been extensively studied in random process theory and widely used as a network traffic model. Most methods for estimating MMPP parameters are based on the exact arrival times. Nevertheless, in many applications it is costly to record the exact time of each arrival. Instead, we only record the number of arrivals in fixed-length time slots, which is called arrival count. Since arrival count data does not maintain detailed arrival times, it is non trivial to develop effective methods for MMPP parameter estimation with arrival counts only. Very few existing works deal with this challenge. This paper tackles the above challenge with copula analysis. The theoretical marginal distribution and copula of arrival counts in MMPP are applied to develop a new estimation method, MarCpa, which is a two-step estimation method involving marginal matching followed by copula matching. Our evaluation results demonstrate that the proposed method is fast and accurate. © 2017 IEEE.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 IEEE/ACM 25th International Symposium on Quality of Service, IWQoS 2017
PublisherIEEE
ISBN (Print)9781509019830
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Jul 2017
Externally publishedYes
Event25th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Quality of Service, IWQoS 2017 - Vilanova i la Geltru, Spain
Duration: 14 Jun 201716 Jun 2017

Publication series

Name2017 IEEE/ACM 25th International Symposium on Quality of Service, IWQoS 2017

Conference

Conference25th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Quality of Service, IWQoS 2017
Country/TerritorySpain
CityVilanova i la Geltru
Period14/06/1716/06/17

Bibliographical note

Publication details (e.g. title, author(s), publication statuses and dates) are captured on an “AS IS” and “AS AVAILABLE” basis at the time of record harvesting from the data source. Suggestions for further amendments or supplementary information can be sent to [email protected].

Research Keywords

  • Arrival counts
  • Copula
  • Markov-modulated poisson process
  • Parameter estimation

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Copula-based parameter estimation for Markov-modulated Poisson Process'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this