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Coordinated bubbles and crashes

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

In a market with information friction, investors strategically consider the actions of others and evolutionarily switch between fundamental and technical strategies to maximize their payoffs. The collective actions of all investors exert feedback on asset price, which affects investors’ subsequent actions. We find that investors have the incentive to adopt fundamental strategy to restore market efficiency only if the mispricing is sufficiently large. When investors fail to coordinate on the fundamental strategy, market inefficiency increases, which blows the bubble. As market inefficiency grows, the coordination on fundamental strategy strengthens, which eventually bursts the bubble. © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Original languageEnglish
Article number103974
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume120
Online published13 Aug 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2020
Externally publishedYes

Funding

Financial support from NUS startup grant is gratefully acknowledged.

Research Keywords

  • Bubbles
  • Coordination games
  • Market efficiency

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