COINTEGRATION RANK ESTIMATION FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL TIME SERIES WITH BREAKS

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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Detail(s)

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1193-1217
Number of pages25
Journal / PublicationStatistica Sinica
Volume33
Issue numberOnline Special Issue
Publication statusPublished - May 2023

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Abstract

We propose an intuitive and simple-to-use procedure for estimating the cointegration rank of a high-dimensional time series system with possible breaks. Based on a similar idea to a principal component analysis, the cointegration rank can be estimated by the number of eigenvalues of a certain nonnegative definite matrix. There are several advantages to the new method: (a) the dimension of the cointegrated time series is allowed to vary with the sample size; (b) it is model free; and (c) it is simple to use and robust against possible breaks in trend. The cointegration rank can be estimated without the need for a priori testing and estimating of the break points. The asymptotic properties of the proposed methods are investigated when the dimension of the time series increases with the sample size, which offers a new alternative to deal with high-dimensional time series. Finally, the proposed precedure is demonstrated by means of simulations. © 2023 Institute of Statistical Science. All rights reserved.

Research Area(s)

  • Cointegration, eigenanalysis, high-dimensional time series, nonstationary processes, structural break

Citation Format(s)

COINTEGRATION RANK ESTIMATION FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL TIME SERIES WITH BREAKS. / Chan, Ngai Hang; Zhang, Rongmao.
In: Statistica Sinica, Vol. 33, No. Online Special Issue, 05.2023, p. 1193-1217.

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

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