Bounds analysis of competing risks : a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration

Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews (RGC: 21, 22, 62)21_Publication in refereed journal

2 Scopus Citations
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  • Melanie Arntz
  • Simon M.S. Lo
  • Ralf A. Wilke


Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)199-228
Journal / PublicationEmpirical Economics
Issue number1
Online published6 Jan 2013
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2014
Externally publishedYes


By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude anymeaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50% of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state.

Research Area(s)

  • Administrative data, Cumulative incidence curve, Difference-in-differences