Balance-of-payments anti-crises
Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews › RGC 21 - Publication in refereed journal › peer-review
Author(s)
Related Research Unit(s)
Detail(s)
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 186-202 |
Journal / Publication | Journal of Macroeconomics |
Volume | 48 |
Publication status | Published - 1 Jun 2016 |
Link(s)
Abstract
China and Switzerland have recently experienced foreign exchange reserve accumulation far in excess of what would be implied by the literature on optimal reserves. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model, we show that the credible expectation of an upper limit to how many reserves a country is willing to accumulate would lead to a balance-of-payments anti-crisis. This is characterized by an accelerated pre-crisis accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, followed by a collapse of the monetary target that is instantaneous under exchange rate targeting and gradual under price level targeting. We argue that Switzerland has recently experienced such an event.
Research Area(s)
- Exchange rate targeting, Foreign exchange intervention, Foreign exchange reserves, Price level targeting
Citation Format(s)
Balance-of-payments anti-crises. / Kumhof, Michael; Yan, Isabel.
In: Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 48, 01.06.2016, p. 186-202.
In: Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 48, 01.06.2016, p. 186-202.
Research output: Journal Publications and Reviews › RGC 21 - Publication in refereed journal › peer-review