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A wavelet denoising support vector regression ensemble model for exchange rate prediction

  • Kaijian He
  • , Chi Xie
  • , Kin Keung Lai

    Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

    Abstract

    Based on the nonlinear ensemble and level dependent denoising framework, a novel wavelet denoising Support Vector Regression (SVR) ensemble forecasting model is proposed. The proposed model attempts to incorporate the level dependent denoising technique that utilizes the multi scale heterogeneous characteristics of data and noises into the modeling process. Forecasting results based on different wavelet parameters are firstly preprocessed by Principle Component Analysis to reduce dimensionality and noise, then ensembled via SVR to further reduce forecasting biases and improve the forecasting stability. Experiment results reveal that the performance of the proposed approach is statistically superior to those more traditional methods presented in this study in terms of the same measurement. © 2008 IEEE.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publication2008 International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, WiCOM 2008
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2008
    Event2008 International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, WiCOM 2008 - Dalian, China
    Duration: 12 Oct 200814 Oct 2008

    Conference

    Conference2008 International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, WiCOM 2008
    PlaceChina
    CityDalian
    Period12/10/0814/10/08

    Research Keywords

    • Nonlinear ensemble
    • Principle component analysis
    • Shrinkage strategy
    • Support vector regression
    • Threshold selection strategy
    • Wavelet denoising model

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