A statistical model for flood forecasting

J. H. Zhao, Z. Y. Dong, M. L. Zhao

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A statistical model is proposed in this paper that can be used for river stage forecasting. This model is able to handle the volatilities associated with the data used in flood forecasting. Different from conventional flood forecasting methods, this model works well with fatter-tail distribution and volatility clustering in the flood related data. Observed water stage data from Guangxi, China, are employed to test the proposed method with promising results © Institution of Engineers Australia.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)43-52
JournalAustralian Journal of Water Resources
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes

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