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A reflection-based variance reduction technique for sum of random variables

    Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

    Abstract

    Monte Carlo simulation has been widely used as a standard tool for estimating expectations. In this paper we develop a variance reduction technique for a particular case when the expectation is taken under a constraint that a sum of random variables is larger than a threshold. The proposed technique is based on a reflection argument on the sample space and requires knowing the joint density of the random variables. It turns out the technique can always guarantee a variance reduction. More importantly, the technique sheds light on how observations violating the constraint can be used more efficiently in estimation, compared to crude Monte Carlo. © 2011 IEEE.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
    Pages3790-3799
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2011
    Event2011 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2011 - Phoenix, AZ, United States
    Duration: 11 Dec 201114 Dec 2011

    Publication series

    Name
    ISSN (Print)0891-7736

    Conference

    Conference2011 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2011
    PlaceUnited States
    CityPhoenix, AZ
    Period11/12/1114/12/11

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