Abstract
In this paper, a new methodology, which integrates human factors analysis and classification system (HFACS) with Bayesian Network (BN), is proposed to assess the contribution of human and organizational factors in maritime accidents. As a means of making up the lack of quantitative analysis within HFACS, the integration of BN and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (AHP) have been selected to estimate quantitatively the contribution of human error to the accident. At the same time, the HFACS' 4-level structure provides a systematic guideline in the construction of the BN to model how human errors are related to form a network. Fuzzy AHP and decomposition method are applied to estimate the conditional probabilities of BN, which is more efficient manner and can reduce subjective biases. A case study of ship collision showed that the method is more flexible to seek out the critical latent human and organizational errors using the advantages of both techniques. ©2010 IEEE.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | IEEM2010 - IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management |
| Pages | 1776-1780 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2010 |
| Externally published | Yes |
| Event | 2010 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM2010) - Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, Macao, China Duration: 7 Dec 2010 → 10 Dec 2010 |
Conference
| Conference | 2010 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM2010) |
|---|---|
| Place | China |
| City | Macao |
| Period | 7/12/10 → 10/12/10 |
Research Keywords
- Bayesian Network
- Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process
- Human factors analysis and classification system
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