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A new methodology to integrate human factors analysis and classification system with Bayesian Network

  • Yan Fu Wang*
  • , Shahrzad Faghih Roohi
  • , Xiu Ming Hu
  • , Min Xie
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

In this paper, a new methodology, which integrates human factors analysis and classification system (HFACS) with Bayesian Network (BN), is proposed to assess the contribution of human and organizational factors in maritime accidents. As a means of making up the lack of quantitative analysis within HFACS, the integration of BN and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (AHP) have been selected to estimate quantitatively the contribution of human error to the accident. At the same time, the HFACS' 4-level structure provides a systematic guideline in the construction of the BN to model how human errors are related to form a network. Fuzzy AHP and decomposition method are applied to estimate the conditional probabilities of BN, which is more efficient manner and can reduce subjective biases. A case study of ship collision showed that the method is more flexible to seek out the critical latent human and organizational errors using the advantages of both techniques. ©2010 IEEE.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIEEM2010 - IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
Pages1776-1780
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2010
Externally publishedYes
Event2010 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM2010) - Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, Macao, China
Duration: 7 Dec 201010 Dec 2010

Conference

Conference2010 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM2010)
PlaceChina
CityMacao
Period7/12/1010/12/10

Research Keywords

  • Bayesian Network
  • Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process
  • Human factors analysis and classification system

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