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A New Dependence Model for Heterogeneous Markov Modulated Poisson Processes

Fang Dong, Kui Wu, Venkatesh Srinivasan

Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

Abstract

Markov Modulated Poisson Process (MMPP) has been extensively studied in random process theory and widely applied in various applications involving Poisson arrivals whose rate varies following a Markov process. The most general form of aggregated MMPP is the superposition of heterogeneous MMPPs (HeMMPP), in which each constituent MMPP has different parameters. Due to the generality of HeMMPP, studying its temporal dependence will benefit network traffic monitoring and traffic prediction. Modeling the temporal dependence of HeMMPP, however, is extremely hard because the total number of states in a HeMMPP increases exponentially with the number of states in constituent MMPPs. This paper tackles the above challenge with copula analysis. It not only presents a novel framework to capture the functional dependence structure of HeMMPP, but also provides a recursive algorithm to effectively calculate HeMMPP copula values. The theoretical analysis and the algorithms together offer a complete solution for modeling the temporal dependence of HeMMPP. Another contribution of the paper is the application of HeMMPP copula for traffic prediction. © 2018 IFIP
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication17th International IFIP TC6 Networking Conference, Networking 2018, Zurich, Switzerland, May 14-16, 2018
PublisherIFIP
Pages397-405
ISBN (Electronic)9783903176089
Publication statusPublished - May 2018
Externally publishedYes
Event17th International IFIP TC6 Networking Conference (NETWORKING 2018) - Swissôtel Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Duration: 14 May 201816 May 2018
https://networking.ifip.org/2018/

Publication series

NameInternational IFIP Networking Conference, Networking

Conference

Conference17th International IFIP TC6 Networking Conference (NETWORKING 2018)
PlaceSwitzerland
CityZurich
Period14/05/1816/05/18
Internet address

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  • A New Dependence Model for Heterogeneous Markov Modulated Poisson Processes

    Dong, F., Wu, K. & Srinivasan, V., May 2018, 2018 IFIP Networking 2018: Proceedings. IEEE, p. 397-405 (IFIP Networking Conference IFIP Networking and Workshops, IFIP Networking - Proceedings).

    Research output: Chapters, Conference Papers, Creative and Literary WorksRGC 32 - Refereed conference paper (with host publication)peer-review

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