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A Markov Chain Model for Transient Analysis of Handoff Process in Emergency Departments

Wenjun Zhu, Brian W. Patterson, Maureen Smith, Anne C. Rifleman, Pascale Carayon, Jingshan Li*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal Publications and ReviewsRGC 21 - Publication in refereed journalpeer-review

Abstract

Transfer of care between multiple units or facilities is of significant importance for patient safety, care quality, and operation efficiency. Such transfers are often referred to as handoffs in hospitals, which need to be carried out timely, safely, and smoothly with accurate information. This article introduces a Markov chain model to study the transients of handoff process in hospital emergency departments. The handoff process is modeled by a stochastic process with unavailability of service, which characterizes the constraints in bed capacity, staff shortage, and coordination issues, etc. For systems only allowing one transfer request waiting, the transient performance is obtained through Laplace transform and its inverse transform. Such a result is then used as a building block to study the systems allowing multiple requests waiting through an iteration process, which can reduce the computation complexity substantially. Numerical studies show that such a method can provide estimates of transient performance in the handoff process with acceptable accuracy.

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Original languageEnglish
Article number9097425
Pages (from-to)4360-4367
Number of pages8
JournalIEEE Robotics and Automation Letters
Volume5
Issue number3
Online published20 May 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2020
Externally publishedYes

Funding

This research was supported in part by Grant CMMI-1536987 from the National Science Foundation, Grant 5R18HS026624 from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), and Grant UL1TR000427 from the Clinical and Translational Science Award (CTSA) program, through the NIH National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (NCATS). The work was also supported in part by the University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health through Wisconsin Partnership Program funding to the Wisconsin Institute for Healthcare Engineering and the Health Innovation Program.

Research Keywords

  • Emergency department
  • handoff process
  • Markov chain
  • transient analysis
  • waiting time

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