2047后的香港是继续实行“一国两制”还是实行“一国一制”?这是一个已经在香港社会引起关注且值得讨论的问题。现阶段,从香港政府的三个主要组成部分,即司法、行政与立法机关在落实“一国两制”的决心和“一国两制”运作的总体状况来看,“一国两制”基本上是按照《基本法》的规定在运作的,所存在的问题主要是在“一国”与“两制”之间怎样去平衡。那么在2047后的香港有没有可能实行“一国一制”,还是应该继续实行“一国两制”呢?这是2047年后香港所面临的两种选择的可能性。就“一国一制”而言,虽然在技术和制度层面是有可能的,但是困难会非常大。考虑到香港特殊的历史发展,更理性的选择应该是在香港继续实行“一国两制”,而且这应该也是更适合香港的制度。当然,就实施“一国两制”而言,目前最大的不足在于缺少理论上的支撑。只有创造出一套支撑“一国两制”的理论,“一国两制”才会更有生命力。

Is the policy of “one country, two systems” or that of “one country, one system” will be implemented in Hong Kong after 2047? This is a question which has attracted much attention in Hong Kong and is a matter of debate. At present, in terms of the determination of the three major parts of Hong Kong government (namely, judicial, administrative and legislation departments) to implement the principle of “one country, two systems” and its overall practice, the policy of “one country”“two systems” has been implemented essentially in accordance with Hong Kong’s Basic Law. The problem lies in how to balance “one country” and “two systems”. Is it possible for Hong Kong to implement “one country, one system” or should it continue the implementation of “one country, two systems” after 2047? This is choice Hong Kong will be faced with after 2047. Although “one country, one system” policy is possible at technological and institutional level, its implementation is far from easy. In view of the historical development of Hong Kong, it is more reasonable to continue “one country, two systems” policy, and it is the best system for Hong Kong. Of course, the biggest problem for the implementation of “one country, two systems” lies in lack of theoretical support. Only when we develop a theory to support “one country, two systems” can the policy be more sustainable.