Modeling the Survival of Democracies: A Comparative & Longitudinal Analysis (1850-2000)

Project: Research

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  • Ming Dixon SING (Principal Investigator / Project Coordinator)


The main objectives of this study are:to explain democratic survival around the world between 1850 and 2000 with a whole range of possible institutional and non-institutional causes deduced from past theoretical works;to test whether parliamentary democracy is more capable of enhancing democratic survival than the presidential one around the world between 1850 and 2000;to assess whether different causes have shaped democratic survival in different regions and periods; andto employ a more rigorous measurement of “democracy” and “democratic survival” than much of the existing research, in order to put the causal model to a stringent test.This research is in a better position to fulfill these objectives than that previously published, as the former will cover a large and updated sample of cases from 1850 to 2000. Various models will be tested, covering all countries around the world with populations of no less than one million which have experienced democratic breakdowns between 1850 and 2000.


Project number9050197
Grant typeFHKSP
Effective start/end date1/01/079/08/07